SPL Round 5

Falkirk vs Third Lanark analysis

Falkirk Third Lanark
83 ELO 83
-7.7% Tilt 2.9%
440º General ELO ranking 34383º
Country ELO ranking 209º
ELO win probability
51.9%
Falkirk
23.6%
Draw
24.6%
Third Lanark

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.6%
Win probability
Third Lanark
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Falkirk
Third Lanark
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 1912
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 4
Falkirk
FAL
25%
24%
51%
83 69 14 0
14 Dec. 1912
FAL
Falkirk
3 - 1
Aberdeen
ABE
73%
16%
11%
83 77 6 0
07 Dec. 1912
TLA
Third Lanark
1 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
48%
25%
28%
83 82 1 0
30 Nov. 1912
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 0
Rangers
GLA
48%
23%
29%
83 83 0 0
23 Nov. 1912
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
85%
10%
5%
83 67 16 0

Matches

Third Lanark
Third Lanark
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Dec. 1912
TLA
Third Lanark
4 - 1
Dundee
DUN
53%
25%
22%
83 83 0 0
21 Dec. 1912
TLA
Third Lanark
0 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
83%
12%
6%
83 65 18 0
14 Dec. 1912
QUE
Queen's Park
0 - 2
Third Lanark
TLA
15%
21%
64%
82 57 25 +1
07 Dec. 1912
TLA
Third Lanark
1 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
48%
25%
28%
82 83 1 0
30 Nov. 1912
GRE
Greenock Morton
4 - 0
Third Lanark
TLA
34%
24%
42%
83 73 10 -1