SPL Round 5

Falkirk vs St. Johnstone analysis

Falkirk St. Johnstone
74 ELO 82
2.5% Tilt 4%
440º General ELO ranking 1210º
Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
36.2%
Falkirk
25%
Draw
38.8%
St. Johnstone

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.8%
Win probability
St. Johnstone
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falkirk
-2%
+2%
St. Johnstone

ELO progression

Falkirk
St. Johnstone
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 1972
GLA
Rangers
3 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
64%
20%
16%
75 83 8 0
03 Jan. 1972
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
47%
25%
28%
75 78 3 0
01 Jan. 1972
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
65%
19%
15%
75 81 6 0
25 Dec. 1971
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 3
Aberdeen
ABE
40%
26%
34%
75 83 8 0
18 Dec. 1971
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 3
Falkirk
FAL
41%
28%
31%
75 67 8 0

Matches

St. Johnstone
St. Johnstone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 1972
STJ
St. Johnstone
1 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
49%
25%
26%
81 83 2 0
03 Jan. 1972
ABE
Aberdeen
4 - 2
St. Johnstone
STJ
52%
24%
25%
82 83 1 -1
01 Jan. 1972
STJ
St. Johnstone
2 - 0
Dundee United
DUN
53%
23%
24%
81 80 1 +1
25 Dec. 1971
STJ
St. Johnstone
0 - 0
Dundee
DUN
49%
25%
26%
81 83 2 0
18 Dec. 1971
EAS
East Fife
2 - 2
St. Johnstone
STJ
27%
27%
47%
81 61 20 0