SPL Round 3

Falkirk vs Queen of the South analysis

Falkirk Queen of the South
78 ELO 64
15.7% Tilt 0.3%
435º General ELO ranking 2870º
Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
83.2%
Falkirk
10.1%
Draw
6.7%
Queen of the South

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
Falkirk
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
6.7%
Win probability
Queen of the South
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falkirk
-2%
+12%
Queen of the South

ELO progression

Falkirk
Queen of the South
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 1937
CLY
Clyde
2 - 4
Falkirk
FAL
40%
22%
38%
78 71 7 0
18 Sep. 1937
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 2
Arbroath
ARB
78%
13%
10%
79 69 10 -1
15 Sep. 1937
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
62%
19%
19%
78 83 5 +1
11 Sep. 1937
GRE
Greenock Morton
1 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
33%
22%
45%
78 60 18 0
04 Sep. 1937
FAL
Falkirk
4 - 2
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
51%
21%
28%
78 83 5 0

Matches

Queen of the South
Queen of the South
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 1937
QOS
Queen of the South
2 - 2
Dundee
DUN
21%
20%
59%
62 83 21 0
25 Sep. 1937
QOS
Queen of the South
3 - 2
Hibernian FC
HIB
55%
23%
22%
62 64 2 0
18 Sep. 1937
STM
St. Mirren
4 - 2
Queen of the South
QOS
69%
17%
13%
62 70 8 0
15 Sep. 1937
QOS
Queen of the South
2 - 4
Third Lanark
TLA
30%
23%
47%
63 77 14 -1
11 Sep. 1937
QOS
Queen of the South
0 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
49%
22%
29%
63 65 2 0