Falkirk vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
2º
9º
2º
48
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FAL
1 - 0
CLY
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
FAL
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
FAL
1 - 0
HIB
10%
19%
72%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
FAL
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
FAL
1 - 0
STR
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 2
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
STE
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
KIL
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 4
MON
54%
21%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
DUN
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |