Scottish Premiership play-offs Promotion Group Semi-finals

Global 5-4

Falkirk vs Hibernian FC analysis

Falkirk Hibernian FC
67 ELO 68
5.7% Tilt 2.6%
398º General ELO ranking 490º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.7%
Falkirk
25.5%
Draw
31.8%
Hibernian FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.8%
Win probability
Hibernian FC
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falkirk
+3%
+7%
Hibernian FC

ELO progression

Falkirk
Hibernian FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2016
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
52%
24%
24%
66 69 3 0
01 May. 2016
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 0
Greenock Morton
GRE
60%
22%
18%
66 58 8 0
23 Apr. 2016
RAI
Raith Rovers
2 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
39%
26%
35%
66 60 6 0
12 Apr. 2016
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
57%
24%
20%
66 70 4 0
09 Apr. 2016
FAL
Falkirk
3 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
60%
23%
17%
64 58 6 +2

Matches

Hibernian FC
Hibernian FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2016
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
52%
24%
24%
69 66 3 0
07 May. 2016
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
61%
22%
17%
69 62 7 0
04 May. 2016
RAI
Raith Rovers
1 - 0
Hibernian FC
HIB
33%
25%
42%
70 60 10 -1
01 May. 2016
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 0
Queen of the South
QOS
67%
20%
13%
69 56 13 +1
26 Apr. 2016
HIB
Hibernian FC
4 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
70%
19%
11%
69 53 16 0