SPL Relegation Play-offs Round 3

Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis

Falkirk Heart of Midlothian
73 ELO 82
-10.3% Tilt 5.4%
399º General ELO ranking 481º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.4%
Falkirk
29%
Draw
40.6%
Heart of Midlothian

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
Falkirk
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
40.6%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falkirk
+2%
+12%
Heart of Midlothian

ELO progression

Falkirk
Heart of Midlothian
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2008
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
36%
28%
36%
73 69 4 0
19 Apr. 2008
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 0
Gretna
GRE
57%
24%
19%
73 61 12 0
07 Apr. 2008
ABE
Aberdeen
2 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
53%
24%
22%
73 79 6 0
29 Mar. 2008
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
45%
27%
28%
73 73 0 0
22 Mar. 2008
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
63%
21%
16%
73 83 10 0

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2008
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 0
Inverness CT
ICT
64%
22%
15%
83 73 10 0
19 Apr. 2008
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
3 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
70%
20%
11%
83 69 14 0
05 Apr. 2008
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
38%
27%
35%
83 73 10 0
29 Mar. 2008
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 0
Dundee United
DUN
57%
23%
20%
83 77 6 0
22 Mar. 2008
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
63%
21%
16%
83 73 10 0