Division 1 Sur round 17

Falkenbergs vs Tvååker analysis

Falkenbergs Tvååker
71 ELO 54
10.3% Tilt 11.7%
1907º General ELO ranking 5429º
22º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
76.7%
Falkenbergs
15.8%
Draw
7.6%
Tvååker

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
Falkenbergs
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.6%
Win probability
Tvååker
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falkenbergs
+7%
-23%
Tvååker

Points and table prediction

Falkenbergs
Their league position
Tvååker
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
31
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Falkenbergs
63
63
100%
Lunds
56
56
100%
Eskilsminne
48
48
100%
BK Olympic
45
45
100%
Ängelholm
45
45
100%
Trollhattan FC
44
44
100%
Jönköpings Södra
44
44
100%
Norrby
41
41
0%
Rosengård
41
41
0%
Torslanda IK
10º
40
40
10º
100%
Ljungskile
11º
38
38
11º
100%
Oskarshamns AIK
12º
37
37
12º
100%
Ariana FC
13º
35
35
13º
100%
Torns
14º
34
34
14º
100%
Tvååker
15º
31
31
15º
100%
Onsala
16º
18
18
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Falkenbergs
Tvååker
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Falkenbergs
Tvååker
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkenbergs
Falkenbergs
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2024
TOR
Torns
0 - 2
Falkenbergs
FAL
14%
21%
65%
71 52 19 0
27 Jul. 2024
FAL
Falkenbergs
4 - 2
Kristianstad FC
KRI
86%
10%
4%
71 40 31 0
23 Jul. 2024
FAL
Falkenbergs
1 - 1
Varbergs GIF
VAR
84%
11%
5%
71 44 27 0
29 Jun. 2024
TVA
Tvååker
0 - 1
Falkenbergs
FAL
13%
22%
65%
71 55 16 0
20 Jun. 2024
FAL
Falkenbergs
0 - 1
Lunds
LBK
64%
20%
15%
71 61 10 0

Matches

Tvååker
Tvååker
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2024
OSK
Oskarshamns AIK
1 - 1
Tvååker
TVA
36%
26%
39%
55 48 7 0
27 Jul. 2024
TVA
Tvååker
3 - 0
Kongahälla
KON
34%
23%
44%
54 53 1 +1
18 Jul. 2024
VAR
Varbergs BoIS
3 - 4
Tvååker
TVA
69%
19%
12%
54 66 12 0
29 Jun. 2024
TVA
Tvååker
0 - 1
Falkenbergs
FAL
13%
22%
65%
55 71 16 -1
25 Jun. 2024
IKZ
IK Zenith
0 - 3
Tvååker
TVA
13%
18%
69%
54 27 27 +1