Falkenbergs vs Helsingborgs IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
11º
5º
12
8º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 63 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 52 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 51 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 51 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 49 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 45 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 45 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 42 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 40 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 38 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 34 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 33 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 30 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 22 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 20 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
15% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
72.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkenbergs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
GIF
0 - 0
FAL
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
LAN
0 - 3
FAL
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
FAL
4 - 0
TRE
48%
25%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
FAL
0 - 0
KAL
17%
23%
61%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
UTS
2 - 2
FAL
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Helsingborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
HEL
0 - 0
OST
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
TRE
0 - 0
HEL
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2025 |
HEL
0 - 2
IKO
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
LAN
3 - 3
HEL
50%
24%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
HEL
1 - 0
IKB
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |