Fakel vs Volgar Astrakhan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
BAL
1 - 2
FAK
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2003 |
DIN
2 - 1
FAK
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2003 |
FAK
3 - 1
ANZ
36%
29%
34%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FAK
3 - 4
KUB
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
TER
1 - 0
FAK
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Volgar Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
VOL
3 - 2
KRI
35%
29%
37%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2003 |
VOL
0 - 1
KHI
39%
29%
32%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2003 |
NEF
4 - 1
VOL
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
SGI
2 - 2
VOL
55%
26%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
VOL
2 - 0
LAD
38%
28%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |