Fakel vs Tosno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 0
FAK
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
FAK
0 - 1
VLA
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
NAL
1 - 2
FAK
31%
29%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FAK
1 - 0
ZEN
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 0
FAK
24%
28%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TOS
0 - 0
KUB
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
TOS
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
TOS
3 - 0
SIB
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SKA
1 - 0
TOS
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
TOS
3 - 2
DIN
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |