Fajr Sepasi vs Saba Qom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
NAS
2 - 0
FAJ
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
FAJ
0 - 1
SMK
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
SHA
1 - 3
FAJ
34%
29%
36%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FAJ
2 - 0
OXI
43%
30%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
MAL
2 - 1
FAJ
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Saba Qom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
SAB
0 - 4
MAC
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
BAA
7 - 0
SAB
63%
22%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
MES
7 - 0
SAB
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
SAB
1 - 6
NAS
32%
29%
39%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
OXI
8 - 0
SAB
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -4 |