Fajr Sepasi vs Naft Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
HOR
3 - 3
FAJ
25%
31%
44%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
FAJ
1 - 0
TRA
42%
28%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
FAJ
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FAJ
6 - 1
DAM
45%
29%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 0
FAJ
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Naft Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
NAT
1 - 1
TRA
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
GAH
0 - 0
NAT
15%
26%
59%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NAT
1 - 0
SAB
45%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PER
0 - 0
NAT
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
NAT
1 - 0
ZOB
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |