Fajr Sepasi vs Esteghlal Ahvaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
PER
2 - 0
FAJ
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
FAJ
1 - 2
ZOB
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2002 |
SAI
0 - 0
FAJ
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
FAJ
0 - 0
PAY
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
BAR
0 - 1
FAJ
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Esteghlal Ahvaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
NAT
1 - 0
EST
74%
17%
10%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
EST
0 - 0
PER
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
ZOB
0 - 1
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
EST
2 - 5
SAI
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2002 |
PAY
1 - 1
EST
69%
19%
11%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |