Fagiano Okayama vs Tokushima Vortis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
YOK
2 - 0
FAG
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
FAG
1 - 0
CON
24%
27%
49%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
AVI
0 - 0
FAG
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
FAG
2 - 1
MIT
31%
29%
41%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
GIF
1 - 0
FAG
62%
23%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
TOK
0 - 1
VEN
33%
27%
41%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
TOK
1 - 1
KAR
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
TOK
1 - 1
TOK
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2010 |
TOK
2 - 1
SAG
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
ROA
2 - 1
TOK
47%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |