Fagiano Okayama II vs Tochigi Uva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
FAG
2 - 0
MAR
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
NAR
1 - 0
FAG
85%
10%
4%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
OSA
3 - 1
FAG
83%
13%
5%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
FAG
0 - 2
VAN
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
HON
1 - 2
FAG
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tochigi Uva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
TOC
0 - 4
MIO
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
TOC
2 - 0
RKD
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +3 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 3
TOC
56%
21%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
TOC
0 - 2
VER
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
AZU
1 - 1
TOC
79%
14%
8%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |