Fafe vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
6º
5º
21
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SCP
0 - 0
FAF
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
FAF
0 - 1
BEL
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
ATL
4 - 0
FAF
46%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 2
LUS
33%
28%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
AMA
1 - 3
FAF
53%
26%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 0
1DE
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 1
SCP
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
BEL
0 - 0
VAR
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 1
ATL
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 0
VAR
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |