Fafe vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
FAF
68%
21%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FAF
3 - 3
PEN
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
LEX
1 - 1
FAF
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
FAF
1 - 2
OLH
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 3
FAF
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 0
VSC
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 1
SPC
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
OLH
1 - 1
UNM
29%
28%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
UNM
2 - 1
ACA
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 1
UNM
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |