Fafe vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
51%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
11º
9º
35
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
FAF
60%
23%
17%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 2
CAN
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
FAF
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 1
VAR
12%
23%
65%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
FAF
55%
24%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
3 - 0
VSC
74%
15%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAR
61%
23%
17%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
BRA
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 0
VIL
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
BRA
67%
22%
12%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |