Fafe vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FAF
1 - 2
VIZ
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 2
FAF
14%
22%
64%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FAF
0 - 3
ADO
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 1
FAF
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
COI
2 - 3
FAF
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SCP
4 - 2
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
AVE
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
PEN
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 2
SPC
41%
28%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 0
VIT
15%
21%
64%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +2 |