Fafe vs Montalegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 1
FAF
20%
26%
55%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
FAF
1 - 0
MER
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SMA
2 - 1
FAF
36%
29%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FAF
2 - 0
MIR
85%
12%
4%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
ADO
0 - 1
FAF
19%
25%
56%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
UNM
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
VSC
4 - 3
MON
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
VIZ
12%
21%
68%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
MON
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MON
0 - 0
CHA
56%
20%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |