Fafe vs Mirandela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
FAF
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 3
FAF
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FAF
3 - 2
SAL
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CES
1 - 2
FAF
31%
29%
40%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FAF
0 - 0
FAM
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 0
SAL
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CES
1 - 0
MIR
43%
28%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 1
FAM
24%
28%
48%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VAR
3 - 1
MIR
67%
22%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 0
LUS
47%
26%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |