Fafe vs Mirandela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FAF
1 - 2
AVE
21%
23%
57%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FAF
2 - 0
PED
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
FAF
22%
26%
52%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FAF
0 - 0
VIA
70%
19%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FAF
6 - 0
PIE
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 14 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 3
MIR
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MIR
2 - 1
SCV
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
NIN
1 - 1
MIR
17%
24%
59%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PED
2 - 2
MIR
22%
25%
53%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 1
VIL
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |