Fafe vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SMA
2 - 1
FAF
36%
29%
36%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FAF
2 - 0
MIR
85%
12%
4%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
ADO
0 - 1
FAF
19%
25%
56%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FAF
2 - 0
CER
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | +3 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 2
FAF
9%
20%
71%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MER
1 - 0
BRA
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
MAR
4 - 3
MER
40%
26%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MER
1 - 3
VSC
16%
21%
63%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
MER
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MER
3 - 0
PED
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |