Fafe vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
FAF
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
VIZ
1 - 2
FAF
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
FAF
2 - 0
MIR
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MER
0 - 0
FAF
31%
27%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
FAF
2 - 0
PED
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
TOR
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
FEL
11%
21%
69%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MIR
4 - 0
MAR
79%
15%
7%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 4
MER
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -2 |