Fafe vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PEV
1 - 2
FAF
22%
22%
55%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 2
FAF
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 2
FAF
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
FAF
1 - 1
SAO
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
FAF
1 - 3
ANA
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 3
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
LUS
26%
27%
47%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 0
VSC
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 1
OLI
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
LUS
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |