Fafe vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CFB
1 - 2
FAF
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RIB
2 - 1
FAF
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 3
FAF
22%
24%
55%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FAF
1 - 1
CAM
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
OSL
0 - 0
FAF
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 2
TIR
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 1
JOA
70%
20%
11%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 4
VIZ
44%
28%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 1
CHA
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
ADO
71%
20%
9%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |