Fafe vs Ninense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FAF
2 - 1
PER
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
FAF
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FAF
2 - 1
SCV
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 1
FAF
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
OSL
0 - 1
FAF
35%
27%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ninense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
NIN
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
NIN
1 - 1
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
NIN
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
NIN
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
NIN
1 - 2
VIA
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |