Fafe vs Anadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
4º
1º
15
2º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
26 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 2
FAF
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FAF
2 - 0
VIA
53%
25%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FAF
0 - 2
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ANA
0 - 4
FAF
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 3
FAF
70%
19%
10%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Anadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 1
TRO
18%
24%
58%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 2
SAN
48%
24%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 0
ANA
71%
19%
11%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ANA
0 - 4
FAF
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 0
ANA
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |