Fafe vs AD Marco 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
9º
10º
10º
6
5º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 31 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 31 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
8 | 29 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 26 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 24 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 23 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 22 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 21 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 20 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
2 | 18 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9% | 22% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
91% | 78% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
PAR
1 - 1
FAF
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
FAF
0 - 2
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 1
PAÇ
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
VIZ
1 - 0
FAF
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 0
FAF
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
AD Marco 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 0
ADM
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
ADM
0 - 0
VSC
37%
27%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
PAR
0 - 0
ADM
45%
28%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ADM
1 - 1
VSC
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
ADM
3 - 2
LEC
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |