Faetano vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FAE
0 - 0
PEN
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
FAE
2 - 2
COS
33%
25%
43%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
TPE
0 - 0
FAE
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 1
FAE
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAI
0 - 1
FAE
38%
25%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SGI
2 - 1
VIR
62%
20%
18%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
DOM
3 - 0
SGI
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SGI
4 - 2
FOL
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SGI
3 - 4
DOM
73%
16%
11%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SGI
0 - 3
TPE
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |