Faetano vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2000 |
VIR
1 - 1
FAE
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
CAI
0 - 2
FAE
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
FAE
2 - 5
LIB
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2000 |
COS
2 - 1
FAE
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
DOM
1 - 1
FAE
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2000 |
PEN
2 - 2
FIO
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
VIR
2 - 2
PEN
60%
21%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
PEN
0 - 1
MUR
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
JUV
0 - 7
PEN
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
PEN
1 - 2
SGI
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |