FAC Wien vs Donaufeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAC Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NEU
1 - 1
FAC
9%
17%
74%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
SVS
2 - 3
FAC
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 1
FAC
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 0
FAC
11%
18%
71%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 3
FAC
21%
22%
57%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DON
0 - 1
KOT
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
VIE
4 - 1
DON
79%
13%
7%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DON
2 - 2
SCH
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
DON
7 - 0
GER
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LLI
3 - 4
DON
24%
20%
57%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |