Fabril Barreiro vs Lusitano Évora 1911 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
10º
6º
51
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
59.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
FAB
2 - 0
JUV
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
EDL
1 - 0
FAB
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FAB
0 - 2
IMO
35%
23%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PRA
2 - 2
FAB
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FAB
3 - 0
VAS
42%
23%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Lusitano Évora 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
RAB
1 - 0
ALE
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 0
ANG
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 2
ALE
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 1
SER
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FER
2 - 0
ALE
8%
14%
77%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -3 |