Fabril Barreiro vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
LGC
2 - 1
FAB
55%
23%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
FAB
1 - 2
ATL
70%
17%
13%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
LEX
0 - 2
FAB
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
FAB
4 - 2
SAL
69%
17%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
VIT
0 - 3
FAB
64%
19%
18%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
FCB
0 - 2
ACA
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
ACA
0 - 0
LGC
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
ACA
0 - 1
BEL
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
ATL
3 - 1
ACA
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
ACA
4 - 2
SPC
58%
21%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |