Fabrègues vs AS Muretaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
FAB
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 2
FAB
37%
23%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
FAB
5 - 1
LUZ
13%
22%
64%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
NAR
2 - 0
FAB
21%
21%
59%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
FAB
8 - 2
CAS
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
AS Muretaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ROD
1 - 0
MUR
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 2
TRE
19%
23%
59%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 0
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 1
COL
18%
23%
59%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | +6 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
TOU
3 - 3
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |