Fabrègues vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
AUB
0 - 1
FAB
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FAB
0 - 2
OLY
39%
22%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
AGD
0 - 0
FAB
39%
23%
37%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FAB
2 - 2
BAL
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 0
FAB
66%
17%
17%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 3
NIM
43%
22%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
SCR
52%
21%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AUB
1 - 1
CAS
55%
20%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 1
OLY
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AGD
1 - 4
CAS
41%
24%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |