FA 2000 vs Holstebro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
12º
2º
23
4º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FA 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FA2
4 - 0
DAL
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NAS
0 - 1
FA2
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FA2
1 - 2
OFA
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
FA2
0 - 6
MID
6%
15%
79%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 2
FA2
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Holstebro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 1
SKI
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SIK
1 - 1
HOL
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 1
MID
16%
21%
63%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DAL
2 - 3
HOL
40%
23%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 2
FA2
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |