FA 2000 vs BGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FA 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
LSF
2 - 1
FA2
55%
23%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FA2
1 - 6
B19
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FRE
0 - 2
FA2
56%
21%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FA2
0 - 2
B19
39%
25%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FA2
0 - 0
VAN
36%
26%
39%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
BGA
4 - 0
B19
21%
23%
57%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BGA
4 - 0
FCO
19%
21%
60%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +6 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
BGA
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LSF
1 - 1
BGA
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BGA
1 - 2
B19
15%
21%
65%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |