F91 Dudelange vs US Hostert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
3º
3º
18
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
F91 Dudelange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
LPO
2 - 0
F91
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 3
F91
30%
25%
46%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
F91
2 - 2
MFF
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
F91
5 - 0
JEU
64%
20%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
MFF
3 - 0
F91
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
USH
0 - 4
SWI
14%
21%
65%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
USM
2 - 0
USH
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
MAM
2 - 2
USH
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FCR
2 - 3
USH
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
USH
1 - 3
SWI
16%
21%
63%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |