Extremadura vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
HER
0 - 2
EXT
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
EXT
4 - 2
DPC
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
EXT
32%
26%
43%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
EXT
1 - 0
CPL
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 2
EXT
23%
26%
52%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MER
0 - 3
DBN
48%
26%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 0
MER
73%
17%
11%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MER
1 - 3
JER
47%
26%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MIA
0 - 0
MER
29%
27%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MER
3 - 0
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |