Extremadura C vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Extremadura C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SFO
2 - 0
EXT
12%
15%
73%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
EXT
1 - 0
RHI
68%
17%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ACE
0 - 1
EXT
11%
15%
74%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
EXT
2 - 0
MON
33%
21%
46%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SEG
3 - 4
EXT
24%
20%
56%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UDF
1 - 0
SEG
39%
22%
39%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
HER
2 - 1
UDF
35%
21%
43%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UDF
3 - 2
SAT
41%
23%
36%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
UDF
1 - 4
ESC
62%
18%
20%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CDS
4 - 0
UDF
44%
23%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |