Exodus vs Signman Middeleham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exodus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
EXO
3 - 0
SMU
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BES
1 - 1
EXO
54%
22%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
EXO
0 - 2
HAU
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
EXO
3 - 0
AIC
65%
19%
16%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SSE
1 - 2
EXO
47%
25%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Signman Middeleham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
EXO
3 - 0
SMU
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DUB
3 - 0
SMU
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NBO
4 - 2
SMU
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SSE
2 - 1
SMU
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SMU
3 - 0
AIC
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |