Exeter City vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
EXE
0 - 2
MKD
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
EXE
2 - 0
YEO
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
STE
0 - 0
EXE
53%
24%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 1
EXE
18%
21%
61%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SHW
1 - 2
EXE
50%
24%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 0
BRE
58%
23%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
BRE
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
YEO
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
HUR
4 - 4
BRE
72%
19%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 3
SOU
19%
25%
56%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |