Excursionistas vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
73.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
EXC
57%
26%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 0
ARM
42%
28%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 0
GLP
11%
22%
67%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BER
1 - 0
EXC
58%
25%
17%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 1
DOC
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
BOC
1 - 1
ARG
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
BOC
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
RAF
1 - 1
BOC
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
BOC
0 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
BOC
1 - 3
CAU
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |