Excelsior vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 3
NAC
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
27%
24%
50%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 0
NEC
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
SCH
2 - 0
EXC
50%
23%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 1
UTR
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2002 |
WIL
0 - 1
RKC
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 3
VIT
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
AJA
3 - 0
WIL
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
FEY
5 - 1
WIL
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
WIL
3 - 1
RBC
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |