Excelsior vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 3
NEC
37%
23%
40%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 3
SCH
27%
23%
50%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 2
EXC
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
LOK
1 - 0
EXC
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 4
ADO
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
WES
0 - 3
VVV
10%
16%
75%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
VVV
3 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 2
VVV
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
VVV
1 - 1
SCH
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
UTR
1 - 1
VVV
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |