Excelsior vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
FCO
2 - 2
EXC
30%
25%
46%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 0
JON
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
GAE
25%
23%
52%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
EIN
1 - 3
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
BOS
3 - 2
EXC
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 1
VVV
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VVV
0 - 2
PSV
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 0
VVV
82%
12%
6%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
JON
1 - 1
VVV
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
VVV
5 - 1
JON
81%
13%
7%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |