Excelsior vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
TEL
0 - 1
EXC
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 0
EIN
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 1
GAE
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
APE
1 - 1
EXC
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
BOS
0 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
VVV
1 - 0
BOS
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2006 |
VVV
3 - 2
VOL
46%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
EIN
1 - 3
VVV
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
VVV
1 - 1
BVV
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
FCD
5 - 0
VVV
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |