Excelsior vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
UTR
4 - 1
EXC
59%
20%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2001 |
HEL
1 - 1
EXC
21%
22%
57%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2001 |
EXC
3 - 0
ZWO
46%
22%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
FCO
1 - 5
EXC
18%
21%
61%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
EXC
4 - 0
FCE
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
TEL
1 - 0
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2001 |
FCO
1 - 1
TEL
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
TEL
1 - 0
FCE
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
BVV
1 - 0
TEL
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2001 |
ADO
1 - 1
TEL
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |