Excelsior vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 3
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
SPA
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 2
EXC
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 2
VVV
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AZA
0 - 2
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
RJC
1 - 1
FEY
15%
22%
63%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
RJC
3 - 1
GRO
18%
20%
62%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
TWE
3 - 0
RJC
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
RJC
1 - 0
NAC
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +3 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
STR
2 - 0
RJC
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |